Celly › NHL predictions Oct 17 › NYI @ TOR

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · NYI 5-4-2, TOR 7-5-2

Model prediction

New York Islanders

53%

win chance · 2.88 xGoals

Toronto Maple Leafs

47%

win chance · 2.73 xGoals

Celly's model leans New York Islanders (53%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: NYI 2.9, TOR 2.7, about 5.6 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 62% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

NYI: Ilya Sorokin confirmed

TOR: Sergei Bobrovsky confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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