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Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

October 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · OTT 8-5-0, TOR 7-5-2

Model prediction

Ottawa Senators

54%

win chance · 3.06 xGoals

Toronto Maple Leafs

46%

win chance · 2.81 xGoals

Celly's model leans Ottawa Senators (54%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: OTT 3.1, TOR 2.8, about 5.9 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 58% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

OTT: Linus Ullmark confirmed

TOR: Sergei Bobrovsky confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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Other games, Oct 3

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