Open CellyCelly › NHL predictions Oct 28 › PHI @ WSH
Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals prediction
October 28, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · PHI 3-7-3, WSH 6-4-0
Model prediction
Philadelphia Flyers
37%
win chance · 2.37 xGoals
Washington Capitals
63%
win chance · 3.13 xGoals
Celly's model leans Washington Capitals (63%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: PHI 2.4, WSH 3.1, about 5.5 total goals.
Total: Under 6.5 at 64%.
The model rates Philadelphia Flyers at 37%, above the market's no-vig 33%.
Odds
| Moneyline | Puck line | |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | +190 | +1.5 ([object Object]) |
| Washington Capitals | -235 | -1.5 ([object Object]) |
Total 6.5: over +106, under -130
Prices from FanDuel, refreshed a few times a day.
Starting goalies
PHI: Joseph Woll likely
WSH: Logan Thompson likely
Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.
See the full matchup in Celly
Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.
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