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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals prediction

October 7, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · PIT 5-6-1, WSH 6-4-0

Model prediction

Pittsburgh Penguins

43%

win chance · 2.78 xGoals

Washington Capitals

57%

win chance · 3.20 xGoals

Celly's model leans Washington Capitals (57%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: PIT 2.8, WSH 3.2, about 6.0 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 56% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

PIT: Arturs Silovs confirmed

WSH: Logan Thompson confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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