Celly › NHL predictions Oct 1 › TBL @ NYR

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers prediction

October 1, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · TBL 7-3-1, NYR 7-6-1

Model prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

49%

win chance · 2.92 xGoals

New York Rangers

51%

win chance · 2.97 xGoals

Celly's model leans New York Rangers (51%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: TBL 2.9, NYR 3.0, about 5.9 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 57% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy confirmed

NYR: Igor Shesterkin confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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