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Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers prediction

October 13, 2026 · 7:15 PM ET · TBL 7-3-1, NYR 7-6-1

Model prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

52%

win chance · 3.13 xGoals

New York Rangers

48%

win chance · 2.98 xGoals

Celly's model leans Tampa Bay Lightning (52%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: TBL 3.1, NYR 3.0, about 6.1 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 54% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy confirmed

NYR: Dylan Garand confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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