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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

October 20, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · TBL 7-3-1, VGK 8-4-1

Model prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning

46%

win chance · 2.92 xGoals

Vegas Golden Knights

54%

win chance · 3.19 xGoals

Celly's model leans Vegas Golden Knights (54%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: TBL 2.9, VGK 3.2, about 6.1 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 54% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy confirmed

VGK: Carter Hart confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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