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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction

October 8, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET · TOR 7-5-2, VGK 9-4-1

Model prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs

35%

win chance · 2.69 xGoals

Vegas Golden Knights

65%

win chance · 3.62 xGoals

Celly's model leans Vegas Golden Knights (65%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: TOR 2.7, VGK 3.6, about 6.3 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 51% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

TOR: Sergei Bobrovsky confirmed

VGK: Adin Hill confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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