Celly › NHL predictions Oct 5 › PHI @ TBL

Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

October 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · PHI 3-7-4, TBL 7-3-1

Model prediction

Philadelphia Flyers

31%

win chance · 2.38 xGoals

Tampa Bay Lightning

69%

win chance · 3.54 xGoals

Celly's model leans Tampa Bay Lightning (69%, including overtime and shootout). Projected score: PHI 2.4, TBL 3.5, about 5.9 total goals.

Total: Under 6.5 at 57% (no market total yet, 6.5 used).

Starting goalies

PHI: Dan Vladar confirmed

TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy confirmed

Starters are usually confirmed in the afternoon of game day.

See the full matchup in Celly

Goalie duel, lines and D pairs, the biggest threats tonight, player prop grades and shot quality.

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