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NHL predictions: October 5, 2026

Model win chances, projected scores and totals leans for every NHL game, plus the spots where Celly's model disagrees most with the betting market.

Strongest model leans

SJS @ DAL	Stars to win	71%
PHI @ TBL	Lightning to win	69%
WPG @ PIT	Penguins to win	60%

Every game, Oct 5

Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

7:00 PM ET

PHI 31%TBL 69%

Model lean: Lightning 69% · Projected PHI 2.4 – TBL 3.5 · Under 6.5 (57%)

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Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins

7:30 PM ET

OTT 44%BOS 56%

Model lean: Bruins 56% · Projected OTT 2.6 – BOS 2.9 · Under 6.5 (63%)

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Winnipeg Jets vs Pittsburgh Penguins

7:30 PM ET

WPG 40%PIT 60%

Model lean: Penguins 60% · Projected WPG 2.7 – PIT 3.4 · Under 6.5 (54%)

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San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars

8:00 PM ET

SJS 29%DAL 71%

Model lean: Stars 71% · Projected SJS 2.1 – DAL 3.4 · Under 6.5 (65%)

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Celly is an information tool, not a sportsbook. Model chances are estimates, not guarantees, and they haven't yet been validated over a full season. For users 19+ (or the legal age where you live). Please play responsibly. In Ontario, ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600. Terms · Privacy